← Store Championship Armchair Adventurer
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship Armchair Adventurer.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 55.6% | 55.0% | 54.1% | 1247 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 55.1% | 53.3% | 52.4% | 1283 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 25.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.1% | 46.7% | 47.8% | 1232 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 42.7% | 45.0% | 45.6% | 1231 | ↑ top |