← Grand Archive - Store Championship - 13/04/25
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive - Store Championship - 13/04/25
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-3-1
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.2%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
56.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1471
· median 1471
· range 1389–1552
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1223
Q1 1255
Q3 1484
1702
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 53.3% | +2.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
