← Grand Archive - Store Championship - 13/04/25

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at Grand Archive - Store Championship - 13/04/25

decks
3 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11 4-7-0
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.9% avg ELO -5.3 per match
expected value
46.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1491 · median 1547 · range 1223–1702 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1223 Q1 1255 Q3 1484 1702
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 16.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 41.3% -8.3
Wind Allies 16.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.8% -8.3
Wind Seiryuu 16.7% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.7% +2.7
Wind Shadowstrike 16.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.0% -1.0
Fire Aggro 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.0% -12.8
Water Genbu 8.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.1% -13.4
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Ravaging Tempest -1.00 0 1 0
Astral Seal +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Dawn's Reversal -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 1 0
Regenerate -1.00 0 1 0
Prima Materia +1.00 1 0 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Fertile Grounds +1.00 1 0 0
Potion of Healing -1.00 0 1 0
Horticounter -1.00 0 1 0
Lunar Seer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/23390/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric