HP Wolves Den Store Championships HVN Season

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	4	12.5%	13-7-1	64.3%	63.2%	55.7%	56.8%	1418	↑ top
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	12.5%	10-7-3	57.5%	51.9%	51.4%	49.4%	1418	↑ top
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	9.4%	5-10-0	33.3%	43.4%	43.4%	45.9%	1206	↓ low
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-3-2	63.6%	56.6%	51.0%	49.7%	1384	—
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-4-1	59.1%	50.9%	53.9%	51.8%	1406	—
6		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-5-1	45.0%	50.4%	46.5%	48.1%	1347	—
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	6.2%	5-4-1	55.0%	52.3%	50.5%	50.5%	1409	—
8		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-4-3	45.0%	34.0%	47.1%	42.7%	1429	↑ top
9		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	65.3%	49.2%	52.7%	1234	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	46.1%	43.1%	48.7%	1400	—
11		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	46.0%	50.9%	50.0%	1472	↑ top
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	39.8%	44.0%	44.6%	1208	↓ low
13		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.2%	42.5%	46.5%	1184	↓ low
14		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	48.6%	43.0%	45.9%	1341	—
15		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	45.4%	43.0%	46.1%	1427	↑ top
16		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	51.2%	60.8%	52.3%	1449	↑ top
17		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-2	40.0%	46.4%	48.6%	50.1%	1563	↑ top
18		Wind Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-3	41.7%	51.2%	47.8%	50.0%	1159	↓ low
19		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	31.1%	45.0%	43.4%	1289	↓ low
20		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-0-1	90.0%	65.2%	62.1%	58.1%	1448	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 4 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Luxem Zander 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Polkhawk 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.1%