← HP Wolves Den Store Championships HVN Season
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at HP Wolves Den Store Championships HVN Season
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-3-2
overall winrate
63.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.6%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1384
· median 1384
· range 1348–1419
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1288
Q3 1453
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.1% | -6.6 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.3 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.4% | +24.6 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Wind Polkhawk | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
