Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at /Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly/
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Genbu | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Tamer | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 11 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 11 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |