← Grand Archive - Constructed - Abyssal Heaven Regionals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive - Constructed - Abyssal Heaven Regionals .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 80.0% | 56.6% | 58.0% | 53.6% | 1305 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 70.0% | 58.8% | 55.0% | 53.9% | 1206 | — |
| 3 | Wind Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 57.3% | 52.0% | 52.7% | 1225 | — |
| 4 | Fire Seiryuu | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 58.3% | 55.9% | 51.4% | 52.3% | 1209 | — |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.0% | 45.0% | 47.6% | 1178 | — |
| 6 | Wind Beast | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.6% | 43.3% | 46.5% | 1129 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 25.0% | 36.5% | 40.3% | 41.6% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Arcane | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.2% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1184 | — |