HVN Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	5	31.2%	6-2-1	72.2%	60.0%	55.0%	54.3%	1348	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	12.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	40.2%	42.0%	42.8%	1308	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	12.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	42.8%	52.7%	51.8%	1266	—
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	2	12.5%	4-2-0	66.7%	60.8%	50.3%	49.1%	1331	—
5		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-2-0	0.0%	42.6%	33.3%	42.6%	1362	↑ top
6		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-4-0	0.0%	22.3%	40.0%	39.0%	1203	↓ low
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	6.2%	1-0-0	100.0%	61.1%	60.0%	61.1%	1161	↓ low
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	6.2%	1-0-0	100.0%	61.1%	60.0%	61.1%	1161	↓ low
9		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	1	6.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	58.6%	53.8%	52.8%	1423	↑ top
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.9%	46.0%	49.4%	1277	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 5 decks · 31.2%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 6.2%