← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Luxem Zander 1 25.0% 4 87.5% 51.2% 62.5% 50.8% 1494 ↑ top
2 Water Genbu 1 25.0% 4 37.5% 49.3% 45.8% 49.5% 1407 ↑ top
3 Water Fractal 1 25.0% 2 25.0% 49.3% 41.7% 49.3% 1301
4 Wind Kongming 1 25.0% 2 25.0% 50.0% 41.7% 50.0% 1122 ↓ low