← Grand Archive Store Championship (18th May 2025)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship (18th May 2025).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 92.9% | 64.6% | 61.2% | 55.9% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 10.0% | 14 | 71.4% | 63.5% | 54.7% | 53.4% | 1334 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 2 | 10.0% | 11 | 68.2% | 67.5% | 53.5% | 54.6% | 1243 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 62.5% | 57.5% | 52.0% | 52.0% | 1243 | — |
| 5 | Fire Neos | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 58.3% | 56.6% | 51.7% | 52.2% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.7% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.2% | 50.0% | 47.6% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 40.2% | 50.0% | 43.7% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 40.3% | 50.0% | 48.3% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.2% | 48.6% | 50.3% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 48.3% | 50.0% | 1228 | — |
| 12 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 55.3% | 46.7% | 50.6% | 1267 | — |
| 13 | Wind Neos | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 40.7% | 45.0% | 45.8% | 1075 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Exia | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.8% | 44.3% | 45.0% | 1310 | — |
| 15 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 16.7% | 36.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.2% | 41.1% | 42.9% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Exia | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.2% | 41.1% | 42.9% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 29.5% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1099 | ↓ low |