← Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
Fire ExiaTier 1
at Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-0-1
overall winrate
90.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
71.5%
avg ELO +12.4 per match
expected value
58.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1253
· median 1253
· range 1253–1253
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1160
Q3 1279
1480
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
