← Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.4%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1373
· median 1373
· range 1265–1480
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1160
Q3 1279
1480
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 63.8% | +10.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.7 |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
