HVN - Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	22.2%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.4%	52.7%	51.4%	1259	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	56.3%	54.7%	54.9%	1274	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	45.6%	48.0%	46.7%	1330	↑ top
4		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	39.2%	43.3%	44.9%	1276	—
5		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	37.9%	42.5%	43.7%	1133	↓ low
6		Water Diana	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.2%	40.0%	44.5%	1128	↓ low
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.9%	50.0%	49.1%	1345	↑ top
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	11.1%	5-1-0	83.3%	69.0%	56.7%	56.7%	1362	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 11.1%