Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at HVN - Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.0%
avg ELO +10.1 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1362
· median 1362
· range 1362–1362
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1201
Q3 1330
1362
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Diana | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
