← Yeti Gaming Weekly 4/24/2025
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Weekly 4/24/2025
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1169
· median 1169
· range 1106–1232
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1170
Q3 1415
1608
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
