← Store Champs (6209 Dean Martin)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Champs (6209 Dean Martin).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 2 | 20.0% | 9 | 72.2% | 67.5% | 56.4% | 58.0% | 1519 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 62.5% | 45.2% | 53.3% | 47.4% | 1327 | — |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 43.9% | 50.6% | 48.1% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 48.0% | 48.7% | 1216 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 46.7% | 49.0% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.2% | 46.7% | 50.8% | 1386 | — |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 42.9% | 42.5% | 47.2% | 994 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 33.7% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 1124 | ↓ low |