← Black Label TCG Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Black Label TCG Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1346
· median 1346
· range 1346–1346
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1199
Q3 1421
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 21.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
