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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at Black Label TCG Store Championship

decks
3 (15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 4-8-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.7% avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
47.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281 · median 1304 · range 1151–1388 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091 Q1 1199 Q3 1421 1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 21.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.0% +0.7
Water Fractal 15.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.4
Fire Aggro 10.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.9% -19.3
Fire Luxem Assassin 10.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.3% -18.7
Wind Seiryuu 10.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +1.5
Fire Exia Jin 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.9% -9.8
Fire Neos 5.3% 0
Fire Slimes 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.4
Water Ravishing Mill 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.8% -6.6
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/25086/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike