EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/29/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd

Water Allies

57.8%

2.7% share · 5 matches

5.4% share · 6 matches

3rd

Water Tera Kongming

56.0%

2.7% share · 4 matches

#	Archetype	Decks	Share	Matches	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1	Fire Aggro	2	5.4%	6	66.7%	51.4%	61.2%	51.2%	1266	—
2	Water Allies	1	2.7%	5	80.0%	50.1%	57.8%	50.3%	1420	↑ top
3	Water Tera Kongming	1	2.7%	4	75.0%	50.0%	56.0%	50.2%	1259	—
4	Wind Seiryuu	1	2.7%	4	75.0%	50.7%	56.0%	50.4%	1439	↑ top
5	Fire Suzaku	2	5.4%	5	60.0%	50.1%	55.6%	50.3%	1361	↑ top
6	Wind Shadowstrike	5	13.5%	20	65.0%	51.2%	53.9%	50.4%	1315	—
7	Wind Crux Lorraine	1	2.7%	4	50.0%	49.1%	51.1%	49.6%	1463	↑ top
8	Fire Crux Lorraine	1	2.7%	3	50.0%	50.9%	50.0%	50.2%	1170	↓ low
9	Fire Tera Cleric	1	2.7%	4	50.0%	50.4%	50.0%	50.1%	1328	—
10	Fire Luxem Assassin	2	5.4%	6	58.3%	50.9%	48.2%	50.1%	1311	—
11	Water Fractal	9	24.3%	18	44.4%	49.3%	47.4%	49.7%	1269	—
12	Water Tera Cleric	1	2.7%	4	37.5%	50.0%	46.9%	49.9%	1282	—
13	Wind Astra Cleric	1	2.7%	2	25.0%	49.3%	46.7%	49.8%	1415	↑ top
14	Wind Luxem Zander	2	5.4%	5	60.0%	50.2%	45.6%	49.4%	1311	—
15	Fire Diana	1	2.7%	5	40.0%	49.4%	43.1%	49.4%	1258	—
16	Wind Allies	1	2.7%	4	25.0%	49.6%	42.5%	49.5%	1126	↓ low
17	Wind Neos	1	2.7%	4	25.0%	49.6%	42.5%	49.5%	1126	↓ low
18	Fire Cinderbloom Combo	1	2.7%	3	33.3%	50.1%	41.8%	50.0%	1171	↓ low
19	Water Umbra Diana	1	2.7%	3	33.3%	49.6%	41.3%	49.8%	1548	↑ top
20	Fire Firebloom Burn	1	2.7%	2	0.0%	48.1%	40.0%	48.8%	1508	↑ top
21	Fire Umbra Ranger	1	2.7%	3	0.0%	47.9%	40.0%	49.0%	1170	↓ low
22	Wind Arcane	1	2.7%	2	0.0%	49.4%	40.0%	49.5%	1192	↓ low