← CoreTCG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CoreTCG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 8.3% | 6 | 75.0% | 56.9% | 62.0% | 56.9% | 1736 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 41.7% | 12 | 54.2% | 48.0% | 55.8% | 52.6% | 1367 | — |
| 3 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.8% | 48.1% | 47.3% | 1357 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.7% | 46.0% | 50.5% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 4 | 33.3% | 14 | 42.9% | 51.1% | 41.9% | 45.8% | 1408 | ↑ top |