SlimesTier 2
at HVN Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-5-1
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
43.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164
· median 1164
· range 1162–1165
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074
Q1 1185
Q3 1336
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.4% | +8.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
