Wind AlliesTier 1
at HVN Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.2% | -15.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 60 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 60 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mandate of Honor | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Hired Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Powercell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Captain Archer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Yunzhou Cavalry | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |