Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
21.9%
avg ELO -21.0 per match
expected value
35.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
30.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1335–1335
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1143
Q3 1305
1382
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 16.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.5% | -21.6 |
| Fire Exia | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
