Wind AlliesTier 1
at CMB Store Champs
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1451
· median 1451
· range 1423–1480
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1221
Q3 1417
1576
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -2.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Byakko | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
