← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Thursday Weeklies 6/5
Water GenbuTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Thursday Weeklies 6/5
decks
4
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
12-1-3
overall winrate
84.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1456
· median 1472
· range 1318–1563
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1197
Q3 1411
1567
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.4% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Water Fractal | 10.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
