← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Saturday Weeklies 6/14

Fire AggroTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Saturday Weeklies 6/14

decks
6 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15 5-9-1
overall winrate
36.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
48.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262 · median 1197 · range 1153–1488 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032 Q1 1166 Q3 1457 1582
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Fractal 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.0
Wind Luxem Zander 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.1
Wind Razorgale 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.2
Fire Astra Cleric 3.3% 0
Fire Exia 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.5
Fire Suzaku 3.3% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.3% 0
Slimes 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Water Crux Mage 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Genbu 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Neos 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Umbra Diana 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.5% -0.8
Wind Allies 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Byakko 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.5
Zander 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.3
Decklists · 6 from this event

JSON: /api/events/26686/archetypes/Fire Aggro