← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Saturday Weeklies 6/14
Water FractalTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive Saturday Weeklies 6/14
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1417
· median 1417
· range 1299–1535
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1166
Q3 1457
1582
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
