← 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 80.0% | 52.7% | 60.3% | 51.6% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 10.0% | 14 | 71.4% | 51.4% | 55.7% | 50.3% | 1443 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 15.0% | 20 | 57.5% | 50.8% | 55.4% | 50.4% | 1277 | — |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 64.3% | 48.4% | 54.9% | 49.3% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.5% | 50.7% | 50.3% | 1088 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 48.7% | 51.2% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 4 | 20.0% | 19 | 44.7% | 49.5% | 47.0% | 49.6% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 47.9% | 46.7% | 49.6% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.4% | 45.6% | 49.3% | 1369 | — |
| 10 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 47.4% | 41.3% | 48.7% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Fractal | 3 | 15.0% | 13 | 30.8% | 48.7% | 41.3% | 49.3% | 1136 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.5% | 40.0% | 48.4% | 1225 | ↓ low |