HVN Season Revelfest Tourney #1

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	25.0%	4-2-0	66.7%	50.9%	52.9%	50.3%	1252	↓ low
2		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.7%	40.0%	49.2%	1367	↑ top
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-0	100.0%	51.1%	60.0%	50.7%	1508	↑ top
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-0	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	1327	—
5		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.4%	28.6%	48.4%	1181	↓ low
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-0-0	100.0%	50.0%	60.0%	50.0%	1420	↑ top
7		Wind Overlord	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.6%	55.0%	50.4%	1313	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 12.5%