← Grand Archive: Distorted Reflections Case Tournament @ Taps Games
Fire SuitedTier 1
at Grand Archive: Distorted Reflections Case Tournament @ Taps Games
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-2-2
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1338
· median 1338
· range 1338–1338
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1224
Q3 1383
1423
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Kongming | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.9% | +2.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
