← Innkeeper's Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Innkeeper's Grand Archive Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 69.2% | 60.0% | 58.9% | 1285 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.1% | 53.3% | 52.9% | 1231 | — |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 55.1% | 53.3% | 52.4% | 1252 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 57.0% | 53.3% | 53.3% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.0% | 46.7% | 47.2% | 1237 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.2% | 46.7% | 46.8% | 1155 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1256 | ↑ top |