← Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/24/2025
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/24/2025
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
43.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1164–1442
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1180
Q3 1442
1563
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Water Jin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
