Fire RileTier 1

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 9 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• LimP 83 cards · placed #1
• Empty 87 cards · placed #2
• William068 83 cards · placed #3
• Breakerz 87 cards · placed #4
• Keez 85 cards · placed #5
• KuroNeko 72 cards · placed #10
• Yiming 83 cards · placed #13
• Y4IY 85 cards · placed #14
• Amoslim 85 cards · placed #15

In 9 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Nullifying Mirror, Intensified Pyre, Fiery Interference. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand, Fluffy Shopkeep, Crystallized Destiny.

↑ Played more by winners

Nullifying Mirror

Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 4.

Intensified Pyre

Winning decks ran 1.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 5.

Fiery Interference

Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.

Exia Sight

Winning decks ran 1.0 copy on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 6.

Blazing Lunge

Winning decks ran 0.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 6.

Jin, Zealous Maverick

Winning decks ran 0.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 6.

↓ Played more by losers

Resolute Stand

Losing decks ran 3.0 copies on average, winning decks 1.7.

Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 7, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.

Fluffy Shopkeep

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.6.

Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.

Crystallized Destiny

Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 1.1.

Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.

Grand Crusader's Ring

Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.

Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 6.