← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #2
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #2.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 11.8% | 7 | 100.0% | 52.8% | 62.7% | 51.2% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 90.0% | 51.1% | 58.0% | 50.4% | 1313 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.8% | 55.0% | 50.3% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 55.0% | 50.3% | 1276 | — |
| 5 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 80.0% | 49.2% | 54.3% | 49.6% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Suited | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 56.2% | 51.5% | 52.5% | 50.7% | 1217 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 51.7% | 50.5% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Rile | 4 | 23.5% | 14 | 57.1% | 49.4% | 51.4% | 49.8% | 1314 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 47.5% | 49.7% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.4% | 46.0% | 49.9% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Astra Ranger | 3 | 17.6% | 10 | 20.0% | 47.4% | 40.8% | 48.9% | 1282 | — |
| 14 | Wind Beast | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 0.0% | 49.6% | 40.0% | 49.9% | 1093 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 0.0% | 49.6% | 40.0% | 49.9% | 1093 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 0.0% | 49.6% | 40.0% | 49.9% | 1093 | ↓ low |