← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #3
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #3.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 52.3% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.7% | 57.5% | 50.7% | 1228 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 55.6% | 50.3% | 1353 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.8% | 55.2% | 50.6% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 78.6% | 51.0% | 53.8% | 50.1% | 1288 | — |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 5 | 35.7% | 15 | 56.7% | 50.3% | 52.5% | 50.2% | 1271 | — |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | 49.9% | 1302 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | 49.8% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 44.4% | 49.7% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 48.9% | 44.2% | 49.5% | 1279 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.6% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 14.3% | 47.7% | 41.2% | 49.1% | 1272 | — |