← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #4
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #4
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
33.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1387
· median 1387
· range 1367–1408
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1236
Q3 1373
1493
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
