← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #5
Fire SuitedTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #5
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-3-2
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1186–1379
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1093
Q1 1196
Q3 1367
1508
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 23.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rile | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.8 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
