← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #6
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #6.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 100.0% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 51.0% | 1493 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 4 | 25.0% | 10 | 80.0% | 51.6% | 57.4% | 50.7% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.8% | 51.1% | 50.1% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 2 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 49.7% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | 49.9% | 1305 | — |
| 6 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | 49.9% | 1305 | — |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 47.5% | 49.7% | 1372 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 46.0% | 50.2% | 1241 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 18.8% | 8 | 25.0% | 48.0% | 43.3% | 49.3% | 1397 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.5% | 43.3% | 49.1% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Exia Jin | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.2% | 42.8% | 50.1% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Suited | 1 | 6.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | 1144 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1276 | — |