← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #9

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #9. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 12.5% 3 83.3% 51.6% 61.1% 51.2% 1425 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 1 12.5% 3 100.0% 51.9% 60.0% 50.9% 1372 ↑ top
3 Fire Suited 1 12.5% 4 75.0% 52.0% 55.0% 50.8% 1302
4 Water Jin 1 12.5% 4 62.5% 51.1% 52.5% 50.4% 1222 ↓ low
5 Fire Rile 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 48.4% 50.0% 49.6% 1313
6 Horse and Taxes 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 48.4% 50.0% 49.6% 1313
7 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 25.0% 6 16.7% 48.3% 42.7% 49.4% 1272 ↓ low
8 Wind Allies 1 12.5% 2 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 49.0% 1327