← TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion DTR
Water FractalTier 1
at TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion DTR
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1367
· median 1367
· range 1367–1367
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1121
Q1 1193
Q3 1324
1504
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 35.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
