← Honors Ground DTR Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Honors Ground DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.7%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1228–1280
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1171
Q3 1282
1421
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Rile | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Rai | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
