← OCT 5 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at OCT 5 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-2-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1084–1331
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1084
Q1 1176
Q3 1322
1498
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
