← DTR Store Championships @ CM Dunedin
Fire OblationTier 2
at DTR Store Championships @ CM Dunedin
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.7%
avg ELO -6.2 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1398
· median 1398
· range 1393–1402
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1168
Q1 1309
Q3 1408
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 23.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Fire Suited | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -5.8 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
