← Grand Archive - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Grand Archive - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.9%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1368
· median 1368
· range 1368–1368
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
997
Q1 1150
Q3 1405
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
