← LabyrinthGames Grand Archive DTR Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at LabyrinthGames Grand Archive DTR Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 2 11.1% 8 75.0% 56.6% 57.8% 53.8% 1446 ↑ top
2 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 5.6% 5 70.0% 57.1% 56.2% 54.1% 1297
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 5.6% 5 70.0% 57.4% 54.8% 52.9% 1504 ↑ top
4 Water Umbra Guardian 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 57.1% 53.8% 54.3% 1276
5 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 54.2% 50.0% 50.2% 1279
6 Fire Aggro 2 11.1% 9 55.6% 58.1% 50.0% 50.9% 1275
7 Fire Suited 1 5.6% 5 50.0% 54.0% 48.6% 50.7% 1311
8 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 11.1% 6 41.7% 49.6% 48.3% 50.4% 1245 ↓ low
9 Fire Suzaku 3 16.7% 12 45.8% 46.3% 48.1% 48.6% 1272
10 Fire Aetherwing 1 5.6% 5 30.0% 40.4% 46.0% 47.2% 1342
11 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 37.5% 45.0% 42.7% 1461 ↑ top
12 Water Aetherwing 1 5.6% 2 0.0% 39.8% 40.0% 43.5% 1055 ↓ low
13 Fire Crux Mage 1 5.6% 4 0.0% 33.9% 37.3% 41.6% 1222 ↓ low