← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Neos | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 50.1% | 53.3% | 50.0% | 1421 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 58.7% | 52.4% | 53.0% | 1252 | — |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 51.5% | 52.4% | 51.1% | 1287 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 39.9% | 52.0% | 46.3% | 1253 | — |
| 5 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.3% | 52.0% | 49.8% | 1297 | — |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 55.7% | 51.4% | 53.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.4% | 51.4% | 49.8% | 1324 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 51.1% | 50.9% | 1318 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.2% | 48.6% | 50.0% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 12.5% | 38.4% | 39.6% | 44.2% | 1186 | ↓ low |