← Yolo Grand Archive Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Yolo Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
7-6-4
overall winrate
52.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
56.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1353
· median 1324
· range 1222–1513
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1152
Q1 1250
Q3 1419
1532
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 21.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 64.1% | +10.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.4% | +1.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.0 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
