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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Yolo Grand Archive Store Championship

decks
3 (9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18 11-2-5
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.5% avg ELO +7.2 per match
expected value
58.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1370 · median 1305 · range 1300–1504 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1152 Q1 1250 Q3 1419 1532
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 21.9% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 60.5% +6.7
Wind Seiryuu 12.5% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 63.5% +10.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.4% 3 1-0-2 66.7% 57.1% 48.6% -1.0
Wind Razorgale 6.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.9% +17.4
Fire Suited 3.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.4% +7.1
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.1% 0
Water Genbu 3.1% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.1% +14.6
Wind Allies 3.1% 0
Wind Arcane 3.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.2
Wind Astra Cleric 3.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.6% +4.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.9% +14.3
Wind Lorraine 3.1% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.1% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/31999/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike