← Card Nation Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Card Nation Store Championship
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-5-1
overall winrate
57.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.3%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1320
· median 1356
· range 1245–1358
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1320
Q3 1425
1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 20.0% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 72.8% | +14.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.1% | -2.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.4% | -11.1 |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
