Realgoodeal Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.9%	46.7%	50.0%	1067	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	59.8%	53.3%	54.6%	1239	—
3		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.6%	46.7%	48.9%	1295	—
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	34.9%	40.0%	43.0%	1202	↓ low
5		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	63.8%	60.0%	56.4%	1328	↑ top
6		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	33.3%	46.7%	42.2%	1477	↑ top
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.0%	53.3%	50.5%	1280	—
8		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	59.6%	53.3%	54.5%	1147	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 12.5%